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United States·Growth

Smoothed Recession Probability

RECPROUSM156N · M · NSA · Percent · FRED source ↗

1.82 %

as of 2026-03-01

Δ 1 day

+1.36

Δ 1 mo

+1.36

Δ 1 yr

+1.74

52w high

1.82 %

52w low

0.08 %

5y avg

0.45 %

710 observations · FRED last published 2026-05-01 13:51:36+00