CF Industries Holdings, Inc. · NYSE (us_market)
Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs · United States
CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production of ammonia in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments. The company offers ammonia products; nitrogen products, such as granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution, and ammonium nitrate; diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, and nitric acid products. It serves cooperatives, retailers, independent fertilizer distributors, traders, wholesalers, and industrial users. The company was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.
| Event Period | Drawdown | Buy Point (Bottom) | Sell Point (Peak) | ticker.setupCols.buyScore | ticker.setupCols.sellScore | Max Return | Algo Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DROP2026-03-30$137.60 RISE2026-04-17$112.68 PEAK2026-05-12$130.39 43d | -18.1% 18d | Missed | Missed | — | — | +15.7% 25d | Missed |
DROP2025-08-04$93.65 RISE2025-12-10$76.09 PEAK2026-03-06$115.78 214d | -18.8% 128d | Missed | Missed | — | — | +52.2% 86d | Missed |
DROP2025-01-16$97.25 RISE2025-04-08$68.47 PEAK2025-06-17$102.48 152d | -29.6% 82d | Missed | Missed | — | — | +49.7% 70d | Missed |
DROP2024-03-19$86.29 RISE2024-07-08$69.38 PEAK2024-10-01$87.21 196d | -19.6% 111d | Missed | Missed | — | — | +25.7% 85d | Missed |
DROP2023-02-10$90.49 RISE2023-06-01$60.24 PEAK2023-08-09$82.76 180d | -33.4% 111d | 2023-03-13 $75.24 | 2023-08-09 $82.76 | 85Quality on Sale | 75Deep Value | +37.4% 69d | +10.0% Held 149d |
DROP2022-08-26$118.35 RISE2022-09-26$90.36 PEAK2022-11-22$109.68 88d | -23.7% 31d | Missed | Missed | — | — | +21.4% 57d | Missed |
DROP2022-04-18$110.03 RISE2022-06-23$80.60 PEAK2022-08-26$118.35 130d | -26.7% 66d | Missed | Missed | — | — | +46.8% 64d | Missed |
DROP2022-04-18$110.03 RISE2022-05-09$90.88 PEAK2022-05-17$108.45 29d | -17.4% 21d | Missed | Missed | — | — | +19.3% 8d | Missed |
DROP2021-06-08$55.56 RISE2021-08-19$43.34 PEAK2021-11-12$64.57 157d | -22.0% 72d | Missed | Missed | — | — | +49.0% 85d | Missed |
DROP2020-08-11$35.49 RISE2020-10-28$25.71 PEAK2021-01-12$45.74 154d | -27.6% 78d | Missed | Missed | — | — | +77.9% 76d | Missed |
DROP2020-03-04$38.75 RISE2020-07-09$26.90 PEAK2020-08-11$35.49 160d | -30.6% 127d | Missed | Missed | — | — | +31.9% 33d | Missed |
DROP2020-01-17$46.14 RISE2020-05-13$24.59 PEAK2020-08-06$33.39 202d | -46.7% 117d | Missed | Missed | — | — | +35.8% 85d | Missed |
DROP2020-01-02$46.40 RISE2020-03-18$21.14 PEAK2020-06-08$32.98 158d | -54.4% 76d | Missed | Missed | — | — | +56.0% 82d | Missed |
Here is how CF Industries (CF) and Dow Inc. (DOW) have performed compared to their sector so far this year.
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CF presents a compelling investment case backed by favorable nitrogen demand fundamentals, rising earnings estimates and an attractive valuation.
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For those wondering whether CF Industries Holdings at around US$121.70 is priced for further upside or already reflects the current story, this article focuses squarely on what the current share price might be implying about value. The stock has eased slightly in the last week, declining 2.8%, and is also down 0.6% over the past month, yet it still shows returns of 51.9% year to date and 39.8% over the last year, with very large gains over the past 3 and 5 years. Recent coverage has centered...
For those wondering whether CF Industries Holdings at around US$121.70 is priced for further upside or already reflects the current story, this article focuses squarely on what the current share price might be implying about value. The stock has eased slightly in the last week, declining 2.8%, and is also down 0.6% over the past month, yet it still shows returns of 51.9% year to date and 39.8% over the last year, with very large gains over the past 3 and 5 years. Recent coverage has centered...
BASF expands its North American water treatment lineup with certified sulfite grades, boosting supply flexibility and product support.
BASF expands its North American water treatment lineup with certified sulfite grades, boosting supply flexibility and product support.
DOW launches Coolant Care Network to boost data center uptime with liquid cooling support for AI and cloud-driven workloads.
DOW launches Coolant Care Network to boost data center uptime with liquid cooling support for AI and cloud-driven workloads.
CF Industries rides strong nitrogen demand, higher prices and robust cash flow, fueling investor optimism.
CF Industries rides strong nitrogen demand, higher prices and robust cash flow, fueling investor optimism.
Global markets rally as investors continue to price in Middle East de-escalation.
BASF launches ReducedPCF Elastollan TPU grades in Asia Pacific, offering up to 30% lower carbon footprint without sacrificing performance.
| 30d | 90d | YTD | 1y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF | -8.43% | +7.72% | +45.27% | +23.86% |
| XLB | -0.39% | -3.94% | +12.79% | +18.49% |
| Alpha (stock − sector) | -8.04% | +11.66% | +32.48% | +5.37% |
| Fund | Style | Shares | Value | % of Port | Change vs. last quarter | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| StateStreet | passive | 7.89M | $1.02B | 0.04% | Unchanged | 2026-03-31 |
| FidelityFMR | fundamental | 4.36M | $565.71M | 0.03% | Unchanged | 2026-03-31 |
| RenTech | quant | 247.6K | $32.15M | 0.05% | Added+64.1% | 2026-03-31 |
| Wellington | fundamental | 223.6K | $29.04M | 0.01% | Trimmed-48.6% | 2026-03-31 |
| TwoSigma | quant | 210.0K | $27.26M | 0.02% | Trimmed-79.5% | 2026-03-31 |
| DEShaw | quant | 75.9K | $9.86M | 0.01% | Trimmed-90.3% | 2026-03-31 |
| Soros | macro | 57.8K | $7.51M | 0.08% | New | 2026-03-31 |
| Bridgewater | macro | 18.9K | $2.45M | 0.01% | Trimmed-37.3% | 2026-03-31 |
| TRowePrice | fundamental | 7.53M | $977.28K | 0.11% | Added+8.7% | 2026-03-31 |
| Filed | Insider | Title | Type | Shares | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | Scribner Andrew | EVP and CFO | A Grant / award | 6,464 | — | +$0 |
| 2026-04-30 | ARZBAECHER ROBERT C | Director | A Grant / award | 1,390 | — | +$0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Ahmed Javed | Director | A Grant / award | 1,390 | — | +$0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Williams Trevor Leigh | SVP, Manufacturing & Dist'n | A Grant / award | 4,184 | — | +$0 |
| 2026-04-30 | White Celso L. | Director | A Grant / award | 1,390 | — | +$0 |
| 2026-04-30 | TOELLE MICHAEL | Director | A Grant / award | 1,390 | — | +$0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Noonan Anne P | Director | A Grant / award | 2,208 | — | +$0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Madrazo Yris Jesus | Director | A Grant / award | 1,390 | — | +$0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Ellerbusch Susan A | Director | A Grant / award | 1,390 | — | +$0 |
| 2026-04-30 | EAVES JOHN W | Director | A Grant / award | 1,390 | — | +$0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Wagler Theresa E | Director | A Grant / award | 1,390 | — | +$0 |
| 2026-04-30 | DeHaas Deborah L | Director | A Grant / award | 1,390 | — | +$0 |
| 2026-03-19 | Frost Bert A | EVP, Chief Commercial Officer | S Open-market sale | 6,000 | $126.00 | −$756.0K |
| 2026-03-19 | Hoker Richard A | VP and Corporate Controller | S Open-market sale | 3,499 | $125.38 | −$438.7K |
| 2026-03-19 | Mayer Erik M. | VP, Clean Energy & BusDevelop | S Open-market sale | 1,500 | $124.69 | −$187.0K |
| 2026-03-17 | Will W Anthony | Former President & CEO | G Gift | 17,654 | — | +$0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Will W Anthony | Former President & CEO | A Grant / award | 96,858 | — | +$0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Will W Anthony | Former President & CEO | D Disposition (other) | 33,155 | — | +$0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Will W Anthony | Former President & CEO | S Open-market sale | 20,368 | $131.17 | −$2.67M |
| 2026-03-13 | Will W Anthony | Former President & CEO | S Open-market sale | 32,658 | $130.62 | −$4.27M |
| 2026-03-13 | Will W Anthony | Former President & CEO | S Open-market sale | 28,625 | $118.64 | −$3.40M |
| 2026-03-13 | Frost Bert A | EVP, Chief Commercial Officer | S Open-market sale | 6,250 | $136.69 | −$854.3K |
| 2026-03-13 | Menzel Susan L | EVP and Chief Admin. Officer | S Open-market sale | 18,041 | $136.06 | −$2.45M |
| 2026-03-09 | Frost Bert A | EVP, Chief Commercial Officer | S Open-market sale | 5,534 | $116.21 | −$643.1K |
| 2026-03-09 | Frost Bert A | EVP, Chief Commercial Officer | S Open-market sale | 10,000 | $119.01 | −$1.19M |
| Report Date | EPS Estimate | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05upcoming | 5.91 | — | — |
| 2026-05-06 | 2.66 | 2.89 | +8.66% |
| 2026-02-18 | 2.47 | 3.06 | +23.91% |
| 2025-11-05 | 2.07 | 2.19 | +5.59% |
| 2025-08-06 | 2.47 | 2.39 | -3.43% |
| 2025-05-07 | 1.51 | 1.85 | +22.90% |
| 2025-02-19 | 1.51 | 1.79 | +18.13% |
| 2024-10-30 | 1.11 | 1.55 | +40.07% |
| 2024-08-07 | 1.81 | 2.30 | +26.94% |
| 2024-05-01 | 1.62 | 1.03 | -36.26% |
| 2024-02-14 | 1.58 | 1.44 | -8.63% |
| 2023-11-01 | 1.06 | 0.85 | -20.06% |
| 2023-08-02 | 2.10 | 2.70 | +28.69% |
| 2023-05-01 | 2.54 | 2.55 | +0.45% |
| 2023-02-15 | 4.32 | 4.35 | +0.77% |
| 2022-11-02 | 3.35 | 2.77 | -17.47% |