Setup Scores

A single 0–100 score that rolls up seven things we track on each stock — valuation, quality, how far it has fallen, what insiders & institutions are doing, options, sentiment and the macro backdrop — into one read on how attractive it looks right now. Higher = more attractive. Sorted by total score.

📈 Trading Signals Backtest (2020-Present)

Performance metrics across 5,453 setups computed historically at the exact bottom dates (no look-ahead bias).

🟢 BUY (Bottom Fish / Buy-in)Total Signals: 1,359

42.1%60d Win Rate

Triggered when quality is high, valuation is low, and stock has deep drawdown.

Avg Drawdown at Trigger-29.7%

Avg 60d Bounce+36.3%

🔴 SELL (Risk Avoidance / Sell-out)Total Signals: 1,470

40.5%60d Win Rate

Triggered on value trap, overvaluation, or excessive retail crowd topping.

Avg Drawdown at Trigger-24.8%

Avg Score33.5

⚪ HOLD (Hold / Watch)Total Signals: 2,624

HOLD/ HOLD (Hold / Watch)

Wait-and-see or normal positions on moderate quality/drawdown.

Avg Drawdown at Trigger-28.6%

Avg Score54.8

💡 Empirical Summary: 🟢 BUY signals occur on average at a deep -29.7% drawdown, with a 42.1% 60-day bounce rate and +36.3% average bounce. 🔴 SELL signals warn of overvaluation or toppings to avoid value traps.

All scored Live candidates

All · 517 Deep Value · 111 Quality on Sale · 18 Watch · 264 Crowded Long · 16 Value Trap Risk · 85 Avoid / Topping · 23

Ticker	Total	Verdict	Value	Quality	Drawdown	Smart Money	Options	Sentiment	Macro
BRO	807/7	BUYDeep Value	100	54	100	84	75	64	56
EPAM	777/7	BUYDeep Value	93	56	100	75	56	79	56
FIS	747/7	BUYDeep Value	100	50	96	80	54	44	56
ROP	727/7	BUYDeep Value	79	65	86	83	52	63	56
ACGL	727/7	BUYDeep Value	99	73	25	67	95	63	56
HCA	717/7	BUYDeep Value	94	49	61	76	89	58	56
UHS	717/7	BUYDeep Value	99	65	80	75	28	45	56
POOL	717/7	BUYDeep Value	69	57	91	100	67	45	56
REGN	717/7	BUYDeep Value	84	85	49	79	66	39	56
PGR	707/7	BUYDeep Value	91	55	68	67	90	47	56
IP	707/7	BUYDeep Value	99	48	80	74	45	52	56
BR	707/7	BUYDeep Value	68	55	85	80	81	60	56
AOS	697/7	BUYDeep Value	80	69	59	71	86	50	56
JKHY	697/7	BUYDeep Value	70	82	58	77	58	67	56
VICI	697/7	BUYDeep Value	94	68	34	68	100	42	56
PODD	697/7	BUYDeep Value	96	51	100	50	68	29	56
ABT	697/7	BUYDeep Value	69	59	76	85	85	42	56
AJG	697/7	BUYDeep Value	99	49	85	74	45	29	56
EQT	687/7	BUYDeep Value	100	73	38	80	41	43	56
OMC	687/7	BUYDeep Value	100	50	31	83	86	47	56
CTSH	687/7	BUYDeep Value	95	61	71	75	22	51	56
CMCSA	687/7	BUYDeep Value	100	62	54	69	38	53	56
EXE	677/7	BUYDeep Value	100	67	49	51	61	46	56
PNR	677/7	BUYDeep Value	79	64	74	83	34	45	56
AMCR	677/7	BUYDeep Value	99	47	47	80	53	53	56
BSX	667/7	BUYDeep Value	73	55	100	79	40	35	56
BLK	667/7	BUYDeep Value	100	60	26	63	81	53	56
TTD	667/7	BUYDeep Value	67	55	100	93	0	69	56
EOG	667/7	BUYDeep Value	92	82	22	66	63	45	56
DPZ	667/7	BUYDeep Value	73	52	72	74	57	70	56
RJF	667/7	BUYDeep Value	88	62	37	66	80	52	56
TROW	667/7	BUYDeep Value	95	79	13	55	62	72	56
PHM	667/7	BUYDeep Value	96	57	34	63	71	59	56
NEM	667/7	BUYDeep Value	100	78	34	67	18	53	56
OTIS	667/7	BUYDeep Value	74	53	60	83	80	43	56
FOXA	657/7	BUYDeep Value	87	50	32	75	80	68	56
LVS	657/7	BUYDeep Value	69	50	54	82	79	68	56
ALLE	657/7	BUYDeep Value	69	69	55	82	43	63	56
WRB	657/7	BUYDeep Value	89	55	38	80	48	63	56
DIS	657/7	BUYDeep Value	86	58	36	73	63	63	56
LHX	657/7	BUYDeep Value	87	73	33	70	44	54	56
GEHC	647/7	BUYDeep Value	85	58	59	65	46	53	56
KVUE	647/7	BUYDeep Value	76	55	55	74	63	55	56
LDOS	647/7	BUYDeep Value	88	56	72	65	46	29	56
CFG	647/7	BUYDeep Value	93	52	17	69	89	57	56
XYL	647/7	BUYDeep Value	69	53	57	61	89	63	56
NOC	647/7	BUYDeep Value	71	62	53	79	54	53	56
META	647/7	BUYDeep Value	98	78	40	55	35	29	56
EG	637/7	BUYDeep Value	100	54	22	52	85	51	56
TFC	637/7	BUYDeep Value	97	50	27	63	71	54	56
APA	637/7	BUYDeep Value	96	67	36	77	16	44	56
CINF	637/7	BUYDeep Value	98	78	18	63	53	29	56
WTW	637/7	BUYDeep Value	85	68	57	70	36	29	56
MRSH	627/7	BUYDeep Value	67	55	64	70	55	63	56
BALL	627/7	BUYDeep Value	84	54	39	65	75	46	56
DVN	627/7	BUYDeep Value	95	57	29	82	23	53	56
CLX	627/7	BUYDeep Value	86	48	63	66	49	34	56
MO	627/7	BUYDeep Value	92	78	13	66	53	29	56
MDT	617/7	BUYDeep Value	80	57	60	68	41	34	56
COO	617/7	BUYDeep Value	71	51	55	75	63	41	56
CVNA	607/7	BUYDeep Value	79	64	47	79	20	39	56
ALB	607/7	BUYDeep Value	97	46	36	76	33	36	56
ICE	607/7	BUYDeep Value	71	55	43	81	53	49	56
USB	607/7	BUYDeep Value	95	55	19	61	50	51	56
INTU	607/7	BUYDeep Value	67	55	100	54	33	29	56
CRH	607/7	BUYDeep Value	76	58	34	68	56	51	56
AMP	597/7	BUYDeep Value	68	78	37	66	41	43	56
GPN	597/7	BUYDeep Value	100	50	32	71	28	31	56
T	597/7	BUYDeep Value	98	57	33	50	47	31	56
RF	597/7	BUYDeep Value	96	58	19	57	42	49	56
TMUS	597/7	BUYDeep Value	79	49	55	65	39	47	56
ERIE	597/7	BUYDeep Value	69	55	85	50	27	45	56
ZBH	587/7	BUYDeep Value	87	50	47	44	37	64	56
TEL	587/7	BUYDeep Value	65	78	29	74	33	51	56
OKE	587/7	BUYDeep Value	85	55	24	74	36	50	56
CRM	587/7	BUYDeep Value	65	64	61	80	18	34	56
CCL	587/7	BUYDeep Value	89	53	35	64	41	35	56
NTRS	587/7	BUYDeep Value	81	60	7	50	79	63	56
NWSA	587/7	BUYDeep Value	69	57	32	83	40	50	56
TXT	577/7	BUYDeep Value	84	57	18	76	50	31	56
ALGN	577/7	BUYDeep Value	66	58	31	78	51	50	56
KMI	577/7	BUYDeep Value	76	61	19	74	46	45	56
L	577/7	BUYDeep Value	96	50	16	64	46	35	56
CDW	577/7	BUYDeep Value	71	49	63	78	20	33	56
PPG	577/7	BUYDeep Value	81	60	28	57	44	47	56
CPAY	577/7	BUYDeep Value	98	51	0	66	32	63	56
MTB	577/7	BUYDeep Value	96	54	18	55	51	29	56
BMY	577/7	BUYDeep Value	76	53	17	62	93	29	56
BNY	567/7	BUYDeep Value	82	66	2	52	89	29	56
EQR	567/7	BUYDeep Value	65	63	13	49	100	50	56
BIIB	557/7	BUYDeep Value	86	54	8	59	59	44	56
WYNN	557/7	BUYDeep Value	65	49	48	81	35	36	56
IVZ	557/7	BUYDeep Value	87	53	7	64	33	64	56
PKG	557/7	HOLDDeep Value	66	56	22	55	65	61	56
PFE	557/7	HOLDDeep Value	88	51	17	61	53	29	56
DLTR	557/7	HOLDDeep Value	67	49	35	64	71	33	56
MNST	547/7	HOLDDeep Value	81	67	3	51	52	48	56
LH	547/7	HOLDDeep Value	76	48	21	42	92	44	56
KEY	547/7	HOLDDeep Value	94	56	16	43	48	29	56
HSIC	547/7	HOLDDeep Value	73	46	16	73	35	67	56
AVB	537/7	HOLDDeep Value	67	64	25	55	56	29	56
HST	537/7	HOLDDeep Value	84	55	4	45	49	58	56
CCEP	527/7	HOLDDeep Value	69	53	36	60	45	29	56
UAL	527/7	HOLDDeep Value	95	52	5	59	9	50	56
MAS	527/7	HOLDDeep Value	80	52	19	52	30	45	56
VLO	517/7	HOLDDeep Value	83	57	14	53	23	41	56
MPC	507/7	HOLDDeep Value	78	55	11	55	31	41	56
KEYS	507/7	HOLDDeep Value	71	56	15	41	66	34	56
FRT	507/7	HOLDDeep Value	65	67	2	53	50	43	56
UPS	507/7	HOLDDeep Value	74	45	22	65	35	29	56
ADI	507/7	HOLDDeep Value	74	65	9	44	44	29	56